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Approximate Smoothing and Parameter Estimation in High-Dimensional State-Space Models

Finke, A; Singh, SS; (2017) Approximate Smoothing and Parameter Estimation in High-Dimensional State-Space Models. IEEE Transactions on Signal Processing , 65 (22) pp. 5982-5994. 10.1109/TSP.2017.2733504. Green open access

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Abstract

We present approximate algorithms for performing smoothing in a class of high-dimensional state-space models via sequential Monte Carlo methods (particle filters). In high dimensions, a prohibitively large number of Monte Carlo samples (particles), growing exponentially in the dimension of the state space, are usually required to obtain a useful smoother. Employing blocking approximations, we exploit the spatial ergodicity properties of the model to circumvent this curse of dimensionality. We thus obtain approximate smoothers that can be computed recursively in time and parallel in space. First, we show that the bias of our blocked smoother is bounded uniformly in the time horizon and in the model dimension. We then approximate the blocked smoother with particles and derive the asymptotic variance of idealized versions of our blocked particle smoother to show that variance is no longer adversely effected by the dimension of the model. Finally, we employ our method to successfully perform maximum-likelihood estimation via stochastic gradient-ascent and stochastic expectation-maximization algorithms in a 100-dimensional state-space model.

Type: Article
Title: Approximate Smoothing and Parameter Estimation in High-Dimensional State-Space Models
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1109/TSP.2017.2733504
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1109/TSP.2017.2733504
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Science & Technology, Technology, Engineering, Electrical & Electronic, Engineering, High dimensions, smoothing, particle filter, sequential Monte Carlo, state-space model, MONTE-CARLO METHODS, AUXILIARY PARTICLE FILTERS, HIDDEN MARKOV-MODELS, SIMULATION, STABILITY, ALGORITHM
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10025955
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