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Forecasting future Humphrey Visual Fields using deep learning

Wen, JC; Lee, CS; Keane, PA; Xiao, S; Rokem, AS; Chen, PP; Wu, Y; (2019) Forecasting future Humphrey Visual Fields using deep learning. PLOS ONE , 14 (4) , Article e0214875. 10.1371/journal.pone.0214875. Green open access

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Abstract

Purpose To determine if deep learning networks could be trained to forecast future 24–2 Humphrey Visual Fields (HVFs). Methods All data points from consecutive 24–2 HVFs from 1998 to 2018 were extracted from a university database. Ten-fold cross validation with a held out test set was used to develop the three main phases of model development: model architecture selection, dataset combination selection, and time-interval model training with transfer learning, to train a deep learning artificial neural network capable of generating a point-wise visual field prediction. The pointwise mean absolute error (PMAE) and difference in Mean Deviation (MD) between predicted and actual future HVF were calculated. Results More than 1.7 million perimetry points were extracted to the hundredth decibel from 32,443 24–2 HVFs. The best performing model with 20 million trainable parameters, CascadeNet- 5, was selected. The overall point-wise PMAE for the test set was 2.47 dB (95% CI: 2.45 dB to 2.48 dB), and deep learning showed a statistically significant improvement over linear models. The 100 fully trained models successfully predicted future HVFs in glaucomatous eyes up to 5.5 years in the future with a correlation of 0.92 between the MD of predicted and actual future HVF and an average difference of 0.41 dB. Conclusions Using unfiltered real-world datasets, deep learning networks show the ability to not only learn spatio-temporal HVF changes but also to generate predictions for future HVFs up to 5.5 years, given only a single HVF.

Type: Article
Title: Forecasting future Humphrey Visual Fields using deep learning
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0214875
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0214875
Language: English
Additional information: This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in the credit line; if the material is not included under the Creative Commons license, users will need to obtain permission from the license holder to reproduce the material. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Keywords: Science & Technology, Multidisciplinary Sciences, Science & Technology - Other Topics, INTRAOCULAR-PRESSURE, GLAUCOMA PROGRESSION, AUTOMATED PERIMETRY, VARIABILITY, PREDICTION, TRENDS, IMAGES
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > Institute of Ophthalmology
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10072427
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