Linning, SJ;
Bowers, K;
Eck, JE;
(2019)
Understanding the time-course of an intervention’s mechanisms: a framework for improving experiments and evaluations.
Journal of Experimental Criminology
, 15
pp. 593-610.
10.1007/s11292-019-09367-0.
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Abstract
Objectives: The crime prevention evaluation literature has identified several potential side effects of interventions. These often-unintended consequences occur at different stages of prevention processes, including before official start dates. They can improve or reduce intervention impacts. Evaluations using before-and-after designs with or without controls can fail to identify these effects. We describe a longitudinal framework to guide the design and evaluation of interventions that can account for these side effects when causal mechanisms are better understood. // Methods: Our time-course framework provides a comprehensive assessment of the prevention process. Using place-based examples as illustrations, it builds on previously identified temporal benefits and backfires—such as anticipatory benefits, residual deterrence, and initial backfire—that have never been systematically organized into a single framework. We show how our framework can be incorporated into the EMMIE framework for assessing prevention utility. // Results: The proposed time-course framework links together all temporal effects, their underlying mechanisms, and shows how they can vary by context. // Conclusions: The framework suggests that considering all decisions within these timelines will be more cost-effective and produce greater crime reductions in the long run. By considering the mechanisms that can be triggered at various points in an intervention’s time-course, we can better design experiments to test them and generate stronger evaluations of programs.
| Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Title: | Understanding the time-course of an intervention’s mechanisms: a framework for improving experiments and evaluations |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.1007/s11292-019-09367-0 |
| Publisher version: | https://doi.org/10.1007/s11292-019-09367-0 |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions. |
| Keywords: | Crime prevention policy, EMMIE framework, Initial backfire, Intervention time-course, Program evaluation |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Security and Crime Science |
| URI: | https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10079675 |
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