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Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering

Irvine, PJ; Kravitz, B; Lawrence, MG; Gerten, D; Caminade, C; Gosling, SN; Hendy, EJ; ... Smith, SJ; + view all (2017) Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering. Earth's Future , 5 (1) pp. 93-106. 10.1002/2016EF000389. Green open access

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Abstract

Despite a growing literature on the climate response to solar geoengineering—proposals to cool the planet by increasing the planetary albedo—there has been little published on the impacts of solar geoengineering on natural and human systems such as agriculture, health, water resources, and ecosystems. An understanding of the impacts of different scenarios of solar geoengineering deployment will be crucial for informing decisions on whether and how to deploy it. Here we review the current state of knowledge about impacts of a solar‐geoengineered climate and identify the major research gaps. We suggest that a thorough assessment of the climate impacts of a range of scenarios of solar geoengineering deployment is needed and can be built upon existing frameworks. However, solar geoengineering poses a novel challenge for climate impacts research as the manner of deployment could be tailored to pursue different objectives making possible a wide range of climate outcomes. We present a number of ideas for approaches to extend the survey of climate impacts beyond standard scenarios of solar geoengineering deployment to address this challenge. Reducing the impacts of climate change is the fundamental motivator for emissions reductions and for considering whether and how to deploy solar geoengineering. This means that the active engagement of the climate impacts research community will be important for improving the overall understanding of the opportunities, challenges, and risks presented by solar geoengineering.

Type: Article
Title: Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1002/2016EF000389
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000389
Language: English
Additional information: Copyright © 2016 The Authors. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution‐NonCommercial‐NoDerivs License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non‐commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.
Keywords: climate impacts, climate change, geoengineering, climate engineering, solar radiation management, ISI‐MIP
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Dept of Earth Sciences
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10091180
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