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The relationship between propagule pressure and establishment success in alien bird populations: a re-analysis of Moulton & Cropper (2019)

Blackburn, T; Cassey, P; Lockwood, J; Duncan, R; (2020) The relationship between propagule pressure and establishment success in alien bird populations: a re-analysis of Moulton & Cropper (2019). PeerJ , 8 , Article e8766. 10.7717/peerj.8766. Green open access

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Abstract

A recent analysis by Moulton & Cropper (2019) of a global dataset on alien bird population introductions claims to find no evidence that establishment success is a function of the size of the founding population. Here, we re-analyse Moulton & Cropper’s data and show that this conclusion is based on flawed statistical methods—their data in fact confirm a strong positive relationship between founding population size and establishment success. We also refute several non-statistical arguments against the likelihood of such an effect presented by Moulton & Cropper. We conclude that a core tenet of population biology—that small populations are more prone to extinction—applies to alien populations beyond their native geographic range limits as much as to native populations within them.

Type: Article
Title: The relationship between propagule pressure and establishment success in alien bird populations: a re-analysis of Moulton & Cropper (2019)
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.7717/peerj.8766
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.8766
Language: English
Additional information: © 2020 Blackburn et al. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences > Div of Biosciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences > Div of Biosciences > Genetics, Evolution and Environment
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10092173
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