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The United Kingdom and the stability of the Euro area: From Maastricht to Brexit

Campos, NF; Macchiarelli, C; (2020) The United Kingdom and the stability of the Euro area: From Maastricht to Brexit. World Economy 10.1111/twec.12919. Green open access

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Abstract

The two key events expected to mark the year 2019 were the 20th anniversary of the euro and Brexit. This paper examines the role of the United Kingdom on the stability of the euro area. We study stability from the perspective of synchronisation of economic activity in a core and periphery framework. We show the UK, since 1990, has become significantly more integrated with the EU economy. The UK moved from the periphery before 1990 to the core afterwards. We also find that the level of synchronisation of the UK economy has had the highest variability over time among all countries.

Type: Article
Title: The United Kingdom and the stability of the Euro area: From Maastricht to Brexit
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1111/twec.12919
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.12919
Language: English
Additional information: This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Keywords: Brexit, business cycle, EU, UK
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > SSEES
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10092683
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