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Dynamic Driving Forces of India's Emissions from Production and Consumption Perspectives

Wang, Z; Meng, J; Guan, D; (2020) Dynamic Driving Forces of India's Emissions from Production and Consumption Perspectives. Earth's Future 10.1029/2020ef001485. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

Whilst India becomes one of the largest carbon emitters in the world with a high emission growth rate, existing studies fail to capture the recent trends and the key driving factors behind it. Here, by using multi‐regional input‐output analysis and structural decomposition analysis, we measure the contribution of factors to the changes of India's domestic consumption and trade‐related emissions. This study finds that India's per capita consumption has a significant raising effect on India's consumption‐based emissions during 2000‐2014; increasing coal proportion (especially in industry and electricity) and ineffective energy efficiency (especially in electricity) continuously push India's production‐based emissions upwards after 2003. Meanwhile, India's domestic industrial chain shows an increasing and decreasing effects on domestic consumption and export‐related emissions after 2011, respectively. India's forward industrial chain always drive export‐related emissions upwards. In addition, the major contributor of final demand in domestic consumption emissions transfers from capital investment to household consumption after 2008, while the increasing power of services in export‐related emissions rapidly fades in the same period. India's climbing import‐related emissions embodied in final products shift to light industries, and the intermediate products shift to heavy industries and construction over time.

Type: Article
Title: Dynamic Driving Forces of India's Emissions from Production and Consumption Perspectives
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001485
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ef001485
Language: English
Additional information: This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in the credit line; if the material is not included under the Creative Commons license, users will need to obtain permission from the license holder to reproduce the material. To view a copy of this license, visit https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Keywords: Multi‐regional Input‐Output Model, Full Decomposition Analysis, Industrial Chains, Energy Structure, India
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10097355
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