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Critical Rare-Earth Elements Mismatch Global Wind-Power Ambitions

Li, J; Peng, K; Wang, P; Zhang, N; Feng, K; Guan, D; Meng, J; ... Yang, Q; + view all (2020) Critical Rare-Earth Elements Mismatch Global Wind-Power Ambitions. One Earth , 3 (1) pp. 116-125. 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.06.009. Green open access

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Abstract

Wind power needs to be expanded rapidly across the world to stabilize our climate. However, there are increasing concerns about conflicts between the supply of rare-earth elements (REs) (mainly neodymium, praseodymium, and dysprosium) and the global expansion of wind power. Here, we provide a dynamic, technology-rich, and regional-specific approach to exploring such conflicts among ten world regions through 2050 under four widely recognized climate scenarios. We find that the significant increase in RE demand driven by the ambitious 2050 global wind-power targets cannot be achieved without 11- to 26-fold expansion in the RE production. Material recycling and efficiency, production expansion, and technical innovation are promising for alleviating RE supply shortages in the long term. However, the existing global RE supply structure, along with the intensifying geopolitical and environmental constraints, could inhibit the rapid expansion of wind power, which calls for global cooperation to foster a sustainable and responsible RE supply chain.

Type: Article
Title: Critical Rare-Earth Elements Mismatch Global Wind-Power Ambitions
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.06.009
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2020.06.009
Language: English
Additional information: © 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc.. Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Keywords: wind power, rare-earth elements, material flow analysis, scenario analysis, energy-metal nexus, climate change
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10106726
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