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Satellite-based estimates of decline and rebound in China's CO2 emissions during COVID-19 pandemic

Zheng, B; Geng, G; Ciais, P; Davis, SJ; Martin, RV; Meng, J; Wu, N; ... Zhang, Q; + view all (2020) Satellite-based estimates of decline and rebound in China's CO2 emissions during COVID-19 pandemic. Science Advances , 6 (49) , Article eabd4998. 10.1126/sciadv.abd4998. Green open access

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Abstract

Changes in CO2 emissions during the COVID-19 pandemic have been estimated from indicators on activities like transportation and electricity generation. Here, we instead use satellite observations together with bottom-up information to track the daily dynamics of CO2 emissions during the pandemic. Unlike activity data, our observationbased analysis deploys independent measurement of pollutant concentrations in the atmosphere to correct misrepresentation in the bottom-up data and can provide more detailed insights into spatially explicit changes. Specifically, we use TROPOMI observations of NO2 to deduce 10-day moving averages of NOx and CO2 emissions over China, differentiating emissions by sector and province. Between January and April 2020, China’s CO2 emissions fell by 11.5% compared to the same period in 2019, but emissions have since rebounded to pre-pandemic levels before the coronavirus outbreak at the beginning of January 2020 owing to the fast economic recovery in provinces where industrial activity is concentrated.

Type: Article
Title: Satellite-based estimates of decline and rebound in China's CO2 emissions during COVID-19 pandemic
Location: United States
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abd4998
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abd4998
Language: English
Additional information: This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10118827
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