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Kernel conditional moment test via maximum moment restriction

Muandet, K; Jitkrittum, W; Kübler, JM; (2020) Kernel conditional moment test via maximum moment restriction. In: Peters, J and Sontag, D, (eds.) Proceedings of the 36th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI). (pp. pp. 41-50). Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Green open access

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Abstract

We propose a new family of specification tests called kernel conditional moment (KCM) tests. Our tests are built on a novel representation of conditional moment restrictions in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) called conditional moment embedding (CMME). After transforming the conditional moment restrictions into a continuum of unconditional counterparts, the test statistic is defined as the maximum moment restriction (MMR) within the unit ball of the RKHS. We show that the MMR not only fully characterizes the original conditional moment restrictions, leading to consistency in both hypothesis testing and parameter estimation, but also has an analytic expression that is easy to compute as well as closed-form asymptotic distributions. Our empirical studies show that the KCM test has a promising finite-sample performance compared to existing tests.

Type: Proceedings paper
Title: Kernel conditional moment test via maximum moment restriction
Event: 36th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
Publisher version: http://proceedings.mlr.press/v124/
Language: English
Additional information: © Proceedings of the 36th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, UAI 2020. All rights reserved. This version is the version of record. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Computer Science
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10125413
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