Yalew, SG;
van Vliet, MTH;
Gernaat, DEHJ;
Ludwig, F;
Miara, A;
Park, C;
Byers, E;
... van Vuuren, DP; + view all
(2020)
Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios.
Nature Energy
, 5
(10)
pp. 794-802.
10.1038/s41560-020-0664-z.
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Abstract
Although our knowledge of climate change impacts on energy systems has increased substantially over the past few decades, there remains a lack of comprehensive overview of impacts across spatial scales. Here, we analyse results of 220 studies projecting climate impacts on energy systems globally and at the regional scale. Globally, a potential increase in cooling demand and decrease in heating demand can be anticipated, in contrast to slight decreases in hydropower and thermal energy capacity. Impacts at the regional scale are more mixed and relatively uncertain across regions, but strongest impacts are reported for South Asia and Latin America. Our assessment shows that climate impacts on energy systems at regional and global scales are uncertain due partly to the wide range of methods and non-harmonized datasets used. For a comprehensive assessment of climate impacts on energy, we propose a consistent multi-model assessment framework to support regional-to-global-scale energy planning.
| Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Title: | Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.1038/s41560-020-0664-z |
| Publisher version: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41560-020-0664-z |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions. |
| Keywords: | WIND POWER RESOURCES, ELECTRICITY DEMAND, POTENTIAL IMPACTS, CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURES, HYDROPOWER GENERATION, INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT, MULTIMODEL ASSESSMENT, EXTREME WEATHER, BIOENERGY CROPS, SOLAR-ENERGY |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Bartlett School Env, Energy and Resources |
| URI: | https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10131187 |
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