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Scalable inference for a full multivariate stochastic volatility model

Dellaportas, P; Titsias, M; Petrova, K; Plataniotis, A; (2023) Scalable inference for a full multivariate stochastic volatility model. Journal of Econometrics , 232 (2) pp. 501-520. 10.1016/j.jeconom.2021.09.013. Green open access

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Abstract

We introduce a multivariate stochastic volatility model that imposes no restrictions on the structure of the volatility matrix and treats all its elements as functions of latent stochastic processes. Inference is achieved via a carefully designed feasible and scalable MCMC that has quadratic, rather than cubic, computational complexity for evaluating the multivariate normal densities required. We illustrate how our model can be applied on macroeconomic applications through a stochastic volatility VAR model, comparing it to competing approaches in the literature. We also demonstrate how our approach can be applied to a large dataset containing 571 stock daily returns of Euro STOXX index.

Type: Article
Title: Scalable inference for a full multivariate stochastic volatility model
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2021.09.013
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2021.09.013
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Bayesian analysis, Computational complexity, Givens angles, MCMC, Time-varying parameter vector autoregressive
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Dept of Statistical Science
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10135464
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