Guivarch, Céline;
Le Gallic, Thomas;
Bauer, Nico;
Fragkos, Panagiotis;
Huppmann, Daniel;
Jaxa-Rozen, Marc;
Keppo, Ilkka;
... Wagner, Fabian; + view all
(2022)
Using large ensembles of climate change mitigation scenarios for robust insights.
Nature Climate Change
, 12
(5)
pp. 428-435.
10.1038/s41558-022-01349-x.
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Abstract
As they gain new users, climate change mitigation scenarios are playing an increasing role in transitions to net zero. One promising practice is the analysis of scenario ensembles. Here we argue that this practice has the potential to bring new and more robust insights compared with the use of single scenarios. However, several important aspects have to be addressed. We identify key methodological challenges and the existing methods and applications that have been or can be used to address these challenges within a three-step approach: (1) pre-processing the ensemble; (2) selecting a few scenarios or analysing the full ensemble; and (3) providing users with efficient access to the information.
| Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Title: | Using large ensembles of climate change mitigation scenarios for robust insights |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.1038/s41558-022-01349-x |
| Publisher version: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01349-x |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions. |
| UCL classification: | UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Bartlett School Env, Energy and Resources UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS UCL |
| URI: | https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10149645 |
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