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The prognostic significance of early blood neurofilament light chain concentration and magnetic resonance imaging variables in relapse-onset multiple sclerosis

Williams, Thomas; Heslegrave, Amanda; Zetterberg, Henrik; Miszkiel, Katherine A; Barkhof, Frederik; Ciccarelli, Olga; Brownlee, Wallace J; (2022) The prognostic significance of early blood neurofilament light chain concentration and magnetic resonance imaging variables in relapse-onset multiple sclerosis. Brain Behavior 10.1002/brb3.2700. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Improved prognostication remains vital in multiple sclerosis to inform personalized treatment approaches. Blood neurofilament light (bNfL) is a promising prognostic biomarker, but to what extent it provides additional information, independent of established MRI metrics, is yet to be established. METHODS: We obtained all available bNfL data for 133 patients from a longitudinal observational cohort study. Patients were dichotomized into good or poor outcome groups based upon clinical and cognitive assessments performed 15 years after a clinically isolated syndrome. We performed longitudinal modeling of early NfL and MRI variables to examine differences between outcome groups. RESULTS: The bNfL dataset was incomplete, with one to three (mean 1.5) samples available per participant. Within 3 months of onset, bNfL was similar between groups. The bNfL concentration subsequently decreased in those with a good outcome, and remained persistently elevated in those with a poor outcome. By year 5, NfL in the poor outcome group was approximately double that of those with a good outcome (14.58 [10.40-18.77] vs. 7.71 [6.39-9.04] pg/ml, respectively). Differences were reduced after adjustment for longitudinal changes in T2LV, but trends persisted for a greater rate of increase in NfL in those with a poor outcome, independent of T2LV. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis requires replication in cohorts with more complete bNfL datasets, but suggests that persistently elevated blood NfL may be more common in patients with a poor long-term outcome. Persistent elevation of blood NfL may provide additional prognostic information not wholly accounted for by standard monitoring techniques.

Type: Article
Title: The prognostic significance of early blood neurofilament light chain concentration and magnetic resonance imaging variables in relapse-onset multiple sclerosis
Location: United States
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1002/brb3.2700
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1002/brb3.2700
Language: English
Additional information: © 2022 The Authors. Brain and Behavior published by Wiley Periodicals LLC. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Keywords: magnetic resonance imaging, multiple sclerosis, neurofilament light chain, prognosis
UCL classification: UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology > Brain Repair and Rehabilitation
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10153485
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