Lewer, Dan; Brothers, Thomas; (2022) Association between drug poisoning deaths and season, week, weekday, and public holidays: protocol for a time series analysis of daily counts in England and Wales, 1993-2018. UCL Research Department of Epidemiology & Public Health: London, UK.

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Abstract

The number of deaths due to drug poisoning in England and Wales is increasing rapidly. Annual data shows that deaths plateaued in the decade before 2011 and then sharply increased. To improve our understanding of this problem and identify potential opportunities to prioritise harm reduction and addiction treatment services, we will investigate within-year and cyclical variation in deaths. This is a protocol for a time series analysis to assess whether risk of drug-related varies by season, by week of the month, by day of the week, and at public holidays. These trends have not been widely studied. The results could contribute to our understanding of environmental drivers of death due to drug poisoning, and to the planning of public health and clinical services that aim to prevent drug-related deaths.

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