Zafeiratou, Eleni;
(2022)
Modelling scenarios for enhancing the effective implementation of secure, affordable and sustainable electricity on the Greek islands.
Doctoral thesis (Ph.D), UCL (University College London).
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Abstract
The Greek islands’ power system is fragmented into 29 autonomous electrical systems relying on oil-fired generators to supply 82% of their electricity demand. Local power grids are only allowed to absorb a maximum renewable energy share of approximately 30% to secure the stability of the network and avoid abrupt frequency alterations. Inevitably, fossil-fuel dominated, isolated systems lead to increased generation costs, high carbon intensity and frequent power cuts. A novel integrated methodological approach has been developed to address these challenges consisting of: I) Long and short-term modelling considering interconnections and energy storage in the form of batteries versus the current energy autonomy, using the PLEXOS integrated energy model (Energy Exemplar, 2019) for a projection horizon extending between 2020 and 2040. II) ISLA demand model (Spataru, 2013), adapted to the Greek islands (ISLA_EGI), preceded by an extensive data processing, to anticipate annual demand scenarios. The two models inform each other and support the analysis of 35 scenarios. III) The development of methods to simulate electromobility in PLEXOS considering various charging strategies. This analysis contextualises the impact of innovative technologies in providing feasible solutions on the Greek islands in line with the Energy Trilemma Index (security, affordability, sustainability). It was concluded that when combining submarine interconnections and batteries (Scenario IB.x.1.0.a), generation prices were reduced by 42% at the regional and 10% at the national level compared to a BAU scenario (A.y.1.0.a), while carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2eq) emissions are reduced by 99% and 74% respectively. Also, power outage events are abolished. The benefits of a High-Efficiency demand scenario produced by ISLA_EGI show further reductions of 2.5% in emissions between 2020 and 2040. The results unveil that certain small, remote systems should remain autonomous, supported by battery storage. The operation of EVs highlights that primarily V2G scenarios and occasionally, scheduled unidirectional charging bring the ultimate benefits.
| Type: | Thesis (Doctoral) |
|---|---|
| Qualification: | Ph.D |
| Title: | Modelling scenarios for enhancing the effective implementation of secure, affordable and sustainable electricity on the Greek islands |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | Copyright © The Author 2022. Original content in this thesis is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0) Licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/). Any third-party copyright material present remains the property of its respective owner(s) and is licensed under its existing terms. Access may initially be restricted at the author’s request. |
| UCL classification: | UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Bartlett School Env, Energy and Resources UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS UCL |
| URI: | https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10154702 |
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