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A year-round satellite sea-ice thickness record from CryoSat-2

Landy, Jack C; Dawson, Geoffrey J; Tsamados, Michel; Bushuk, Mitchell; Stroeve, Julienne C; Howell, Stephen EL; Krumpen, Thomas; ... Aksenov, Yevgeny; + view all (2022) A year-round satellite sea-ice thickness record from CryoSat-2. Nature , 609 pp. 517-522. 10.1038/s41586-022-05058-5. Green open access

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Abstract

Arctic sea ice is diminishing with climate warming1 at a rate unmatched for at least 1,000 years2. As the receding ice pack raises commercial interest in the Arctic3, it has become more variable and mobile4, which increases safety risks to maritime users5. Satellite observations of sea-ice thickness are currently unavailable during the crucial melt period from May to September, when they would be most valuable for applications such as seasonal forecasting6, owing to major challenges in the processing of altimetry data7. Here we use deep learning and numerical simulations of the CryoSat-2 radar altimeter response to overcome these challenges and generate a pan-Arctic sea-ice thickness dataset for the Arctic melt period. CryoSat-2 observations capture the spatial and the temporal patterns of ice melting rates recorded by independent sensors and match the time series of sea-ice volume modelled by the Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean Modelling and Assimilation System reanalysis8. Between 2011 and 2020, Arctic sea-ice thickness was 1.87 ± 0.10 m at the start of the melting season in May and 0.82 ± 0.11 m by the end of the melting season in August. Our year-round sea-ice thickness record unlocks opportunities for understanding Arctic climate feedbacks on different timescales. For instance, sea-ice volume observations from the early summer may extend the lead time of skilful August-October sea-ice forecasts by several months, at the peak of the Arctic shipping season.

Type: Article
Title: A year-round satellite sea-ice thickness record from CryoSat-2
Location: England
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-022-05058-5
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05058-5
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Science & Technology, Multidisciplinary Sciences, Science & Technology - Other Topics, INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY, RADAR, PREDICTABILITY, FREEBOARD, SURFACE, SAR, SUMMER, TRENDS, IMPACT, MODEL
UCL classification: UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Geography
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Dept of Earth Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10157082
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