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Valuation of European Options Under an Uncertain Market Price of Volatility Risk

Jaroszkowski, Bartosz; Jensen, Max; (2023) Valuation of European Options Under an Uncertain Market Price of Volatility Risk. Applied Mathematical Finance , 29 (3) pp. 213-226. 10.1080/1350486x.2022.2125884. Green open access

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Abstract

We propose a model to quantify the effect of parameter uncertainty on the option price in the Heston model. More precisely, we present a Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman framework which allows us to evaluate best and worst-case scenarios under an uncertain market price of volatility risk. For the numerical approximation, the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation is reformulated to enable the solution with a finite element method. A case study with butterfly options exhibits how the dependence of Delta on the magnitude of the uncertainty is nonlinear and highly varied across the parameter regime.

Type: Article
Title: Valuation of European Options Under an Uncertain Market Price of Volatility Risk
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1080/1350486x.2022.2125884
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1080/1350486x.2022.2125884
Language: English
Additional information: © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis GroupThis is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properlycited.
Keywords: Uncertain market price; volatility risk; Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation; finite element method; uncertainty quantification
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Dept of Mathematics
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10164364
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