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Global assessment of the sensitivity of water storage to hydroclimatic variations

Thomas, Brian F; Nanteza, Jamiat; (2023) Global assessment of the sensitivity of water storage to hydroclimatic variations. Science of The Total Environment , Article 162958. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162958. Green open access

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Abstract

Observing basin water storage response due to hydroclimatic fluxes and human water use provides valuable insight to the sensitivity of water storage to climate change. Quantifying basin water storage changes due to climate and human water use is critical for water management yet remains a challenge globally. Observations from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission are used to extract monthly available water (AW), representing the combined storage changes from groundwater and surface water stores. AW is combined with hydroclimatic fluxes, including precipitation (P) and evapotranspiration (ET) to quantify the hydroclimatic elasticity of AW for global basins. Our results detect consequential global water sensitivity to changes in hydroclimatic fluxes, where 25 % of land areas exhibit hydroclimatic elasticity of AW >10, implying that a 1 % change in monthly P-ET would result in a 10 % change in AW. Corroboration using a Budyko-derived metric substantiates our findings, demonstrating that basin water storage resilience to short-term water deficits is linked to basin partitioning predictability, and uniform seasonality of hydroclimatic fluxes. Our study demonstrates how small shifts in hydroclimate flux may affect available water storage potentially impacting billions globally.

Type: Article
Title: Global assessment of the sensitivity of water storage to hydroclimatic variations
Location: Netherlands
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162958
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162958
Language: English
Additional information: This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. The images or other third-party material in this article are included in the Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in the credit line; if the material is not included under the Creative Commons license, users will need to obtain permission from the license holder to reproduce the material. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Keywords: Available water storage anomalies, Elasticity, GRACE satellites, Terrestrial total water storage anomalies
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Dept of Earth Sciences
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10167521
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