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Optimal policy with general signal extraction

Hauk, E; Lanteri, A; Marcet, A; (2021) Optimal policy with general signal extraction. Journal of Monetary Economics , 118 pp. 54-86. 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2021.01.002. Green open access

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Abstract

Most available results on optimal decisions under partial information are derived under “separation”. But this principle does not always hold. We derive a non-standard first order condition of optimality from first principles when signal extraction and optimal policy must be jointly determined. This allows us to solve a model of optimal fiscal policy where separation does not apply. Tax smoothing prevails in normal times, but taxes respond strongly in recessions. This non-linearity arises because signal extraction interacts differently with optimal policy depending on the value of the observed signals. Existing results based on the “separation principle” follow as special cases.

Type: Article
Title: Optimal policy with general signal extraction
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2021.01.002
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2021.01.002
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Optimal policy, Partial information, Calculus of variations, Fiscal policy
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Economics
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10168958
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