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Possibility space: The role of social sciences in understanding, mapping and shaping the future

Mulgan, Geoff; (2023) Possibility space: The role of social sciences in understanding, mapping and shaping the future. Possibility Studies & Society , 1 (1-2) pp. 163-171. 10.1177/27538699231170817. Green open access

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Abstract

Social science no longer does enough to map out the possibilities for the future, at a time when there is a serious need for more options. There are many reasons for this including the structure of incentives within universities, and the impact of an otherwise healthy focus on evidence and data. This piece describes both how social sciences can better understand the future and their role in helping to shape options, including methods for creativity, and the relationship between broad goals and experimental methods to find pathways. It addresses the problems of ‘materiality bias’, a bias towards exaggerating the influence of material over non-material factors and concludes with a discussion of how to think about future consciousness.

Type: Article
Title: Possibility space: The role of social sciences in understanding, mapping and shaping the future
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1177/27538699231170817
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1177/27538699231170817
Language: English
Additional information: This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) which permits any use, reproduction and distribution of the work without further permission provided the original work is attributed as specified on the SAGE and Open Access pages (https://us.sagepub.com/en-us/nam/open-access-at-sage).
Keywords: Experiment, futures, imagination, social innovation, social science
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > STEaPP
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10173258
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