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Real World Data Emulating Randomized Controlled Trials of Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants in Patients with Venous Thromboembolism

Yoon, Dongwon; Jeong, Han Eol; Park, Sohee; You, Seng Chan; Bang, Soo-Mee; Shin, Ju-Young; (2023) Real World Data Emulating Randomized Controlled Trials of Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants in Patients with Venous Thromboembolism. BMC Medicine , 21 , Article 375. 10.1186/s12916-023-03069-1. Green open access

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Emulating randomized controlled trials (RCTs) by real-world evidence (RWE) studies would benefit future clinical and regulatory decision-making by balancing the limitations of RCT. We aimed to evaluate whether the findings from RWE studies can support regulatory decisions derived from RCTs of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE). METHODS: Five landmark trials (AMPLIFY, RE-COVER II, Hokusai-VTE, EINSTEIN-DVT, and EINSTEIN-PE) of NOACs were emulated using the South Korean nationwide claims database (January 2012 to August 2020). We applied an active comparator and new-user design to include patients who initiated oral anticoagulants within 28 days from their VTE diagnoses. The prespecified eligibility criteria, exposure (each NOAC, such as apixaban, rivaroxaban, dabigatran, and edoxaban), comparator (conventional therapy, defined as subcutaneous heparin followed by warfarin), and the definition of outcomes from RCTs were emulated as closely as possible in each separate emulation cohort. The primary outcome was identical to each trial, which was defined as recurrent VTE or VTE-related death. The safety outcome was major bleeding. Propensity score matching was conducted to balance 69 covariates between the exposure groups. Effect estimates for outcomes were estimated using the Mantel–Haenszel method and Cox proportional hazards model and subsequently compared with the corresponding RCT estimates. RESULTS: Compared to trial populations, real-world study populations were older (range: 63–69 years [RWE] vs. 54–59 years [RCT]), with more females (55–60.5% vs. 39–48.3%) and had a higher prevalence of active cancer (4.2–15.4% vs. 2.5–9.5%). The emulated estimates for effectiveness outcomes showed superior effectiveness of NOAC (AMPLIFY: relative risk 0.81, 95% confidence interval 0.70–0.94; RE-COVER II: hazard ratio [HR] 0.60, 0.37–0.96; Hokusai-VTE: 0.49, 0.31–0.78; EINSTEIN-DVT: 0.54, 0.33–0.89; EINSTEIN-PE: 0.50, 0.34–0.74), when contrasted with trials that showed non-inferiority. For safety outcomes, all emulations except for AMPLIFY and EINSTEIN-DVT yielded results consistent with their corresponding RCTs. CONCLUSIONS: This study revealed the feasibility of complementing RCTs with RWE studies by using claims data in patients with VTE. Future studies to consider the different demographic characteristics between RCT and RWE populations are needed.

Type: Article
Title: Real World Data Emulating Randomized Controlled Trials of Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants in Patients with Venous Thromboembolism
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1186/s12916-023-03069-1
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-023-03069-1
Language: English
Additional information: This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.
Keywords: Epidemiologic methods, Clinical trials, Anticoagulants, Factor Xa inhibitors, Venous thromboembolism
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences > UCL School of Pharmacy
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences > UCL School of Pharmacy > Practice and Policy
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10176545
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