Wang, Chenbo;
Cremen, Gemma;
Galasso, Carmine;
(2023)
Leveraging data-driven approaches to explore the effect of various disaster policies on post-earthquake household relocation decision-making.
In:
Proceedings of Conference Earthquake risk and engineering towards a resilient world (SECED 2023).
Society for Earthquake and Civil Engineering Dynamics (SECED): Cambridge, UK.
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Abstract
Earthquake events can cause affected households to relocate. Post-earthquake relocation disrupts displaced households’ social ties as well as their access to affordable services. Simulation models that capture post-earthquake relocation decision-making can be useful tools for supporting the development of related disaster risk reduction policies that aim at mitigating disaster-induced relocation. Yet, existing versions of these models focus particularly on housingrelated factors (e.g., housing repair costs), which are not the sole driver of post-earthquake relocation. In this paper, we integrate data-driven approaches and local perspectives into an existing simulation-based framework to holistically capture various context-specific factors perceived as being important to household relocation decision-making. The enhanced framework is used to quantitatively assess the effectiveness of various disaster risk reduction policies - both ‘soft’ (e.g., post-earthquake livelihood assistance funds) and ‘hard’ (e.g., upgrading existing infrastructure facilities to higher building codes) - in reducing post-earthquake household relocation, with an explicit focus on low-income households. We demonstrate it using a possible future (50-year) projection of “Tomorrowville”, a synthetic expanding urban extent that imitates a Global South setting. Our analyses suggest that livelihood assistance funds are more successful and pro-poor when it comes to mitigating positive post-earthquake relocation decision-making than hard policies focused on strengthening buildings (at least in the context of the examined case study).
Type: | Proceedings paper |
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Title: | Leveraging data-driven approaches to explore the effect of various disaster policies on post-earthquake household relocation decision-making |
Event: | Conference Earthquake risk and engineering towards a resilient world (SECED 2023) |
Location: | Cambridge, United Kingdom |
Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
Publisher version: | https://www.seced.org.uk/index.php/seced-2023-proc... |
Language: | English |
Additional information: | This version is the version of record. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions. |
UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Civil, Environ and Geomatic Eng |
URI: | https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10183182 |
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