Kim, Chris (Seokyoung);
(2022)
Synthetic fuels in TIMES models – a review and recommendations.
Presented at: IEA ETSAP Workshop, Friedberg, Germany.
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Abstract
Tackling climate change requires a rapid transition to a net zero economy. Given the uncertainties around negative emissions technologies, there is an increasing need to investigate other ways to eliminate the remaining petroleum in the energy system. One option is the deployment of synthetic jet fuels from a range of sustainable feedstocks including biomass, waste, hydrogen and captured carbon dioxide (CO2). Industrial synthetic fuel production facilities are paired with CO2 streams in their process flows, providing opportunities for carbon capture and storage (CCS) and utilisation (CCU). Here we review whether there is a need to improve the representation of synthetic jet fuels in energy system models, using three TIMES models as case studies: UK TIMES, JRC-EU-TIMES and TIAM-UCL. We highlight the inconsistencies to the data and the constraints on production and consumption of synthetic fuels, influencing the overall market share in a scenario in which the Paris Agreement target is achieved. Future modelling improvements are outlined and applied to the UK as a case study to examine the competitiveness of synthetic jet fuels in a net zero energy system using UK TIMES. A robust technology portfolio is represented in the model, including power-to-liquid (PtL) using various hydrogen production pathways. We find that synthetic jet fuels could have a substantial role in a number of scenarios, particularly when underground CO2 storage is assumed limited. These scenarios demonstrate a strong link between the assumptions around synthetic jet fuels, CCS and negative emissions. Policymakers should consider the opportunities and the challenges for synthetic jet fuels when driving investment decisions in the scope of realising net zero.
| Type: | Conference item (Presentation) |
|---|---|
| Title: | Synthetic fuels in TIMES models – a review and recommendations |
| Event: | IEA ETSAP Workshop |
| Location: | Friedberg, Germany |
| Dates: | 23 - 24 May 2022 |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| Publisher version: | https://iea-etsap.org/index.php/workshops-meeting/... |
| Language: | English |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Bartlett School Env, Energy and Resources |
| URI: | https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10188140 |
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