O'Grady, Tom;
Wiedemann, Andreas;
(2024)
How the Geographic Clustering of Young and Highly-Educated Voters Undermines Redistributive Politics.
The Journal of Politics
10.1086/729939.
(In press).
Preview |
Text
ms_full.pdf - Other Download (6MB) | Preview |
Abstract
We analyze support for the welfare state across time and space in Great Britain. Using multilevel regression and post-stratification with historical data and an original survey, we show that a virtually identical majority of people supported those policies in the mid-1990s and in 2020, but patterns of support were very different. Young and highly-educated people are now the strongest supporters, as are the youngest and most highly-educated geographic areas, mirroring divides over ’second-dimension’ issues like Brexit. However, young and highlyeducated voters are clustered in a small number of places, with the Labour party struggling to win moderately-educated and moderately-young areas. As a result, the Left’s problem in majoritarian systems is not the rise of second-dimension politics per se, but rather how its supporters are distributed spatially along that dimension. A majority of voters in favor of welfare and redistribution no longer translates as easily into winning a majority of places in support.
| Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Title: | How the Geographic Clustering of Young and Highly-Educated Voters Undermines Redistributive Politics |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.1086/729939 |
| Publisher version: | https://doi.org/10.1086/729939 |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions. |
| Keywords: | political geography; redistribution; education |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Political Science |
| URI: | https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10191364 |
Archive Staff Only
 |
View Item |
