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Estimating the effect of the reorganization of interactions on the adaptability of species to changing environments

Cenci, Simone; Montero-Castano, Ana; Saavedra, Serguei; (2018) Estimating the effect of the reorganization of interactions on the adaptability of species to changing environments. Journal of Theoretical Biology , 437 pp. 115-125. 10.1016/j.jtbi.2017.10.016. Green open access

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Abstract

A major challenge in community ecology is to understand how species respond to environmental changes. Previous studies have shown that the reorganization of interactions among co-occurring species can modulate their chances to adapt to novel environmental conditions. Moreover, empirical evidence has shown that these ecological dynamics typically facilitate the persistence of groups of species rather than entire communities. However, so far, we have no systematic methodology to identify those groups of species with the highest or lowest chances to adapt to new environments through a reorganization of their interactions. Yet, this could prove extremely valuable for developing new conservation strategies. Here, we introduce a theoretical framework to estimate the effect of the reorganization of interactions on the adaptability of a group of species, within a community, to novel environmental conditions. We introduce the concept of the adaptation space of a group of species based on a feasibility analysis of a population dynamics model. We define the adaptation space of a group as the set of environmental conditions that can be made compatible with its persistence thorough the reorganization of interactions among species within the group. The larger the adaptation space of a group, the larger its likelihood to adapt to a novel environment. We show that the interactions in the community outside a group can act as structural constraints and be used to quantitatively compare the size of the adaptation space among different groups of species within a community. To test our theoretical framework, we perform a data analysis on several pairs of natural and artificially perturbed ecological communities. Overall, we find that the groups of species present in both control and perturbed communities are among the ones with the largest adaptation space. We believe that the results derived from our framework point out towards new directions to understand and estimate the adaptability of species to changing environments.

Type: Article
Title: Estimating the effect of the reorganization of interactions on the adaptability of species to changing environments
Location: England
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2017.10.016
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2017.10.016
Language: English
Additional information: This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. © 2018 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Keywords: Science & Technology, Life Sciences & Biomedicine, Biology, Mathematical & Computational Biology, Life Sciences & Biomedicine - Other Topics, Adaptation, Changing environments, Feasibility, Network reorganization, Species coexistence, EVOLUTIONARY RESPONSES, INTERACTION STRENGTH, ECOLOGICAL NETWORKS, ADAPTATION, STABILITY, COMMUNITY, DYNAMICS, ROBUSTNESS, PLANT, FEASIBILITY
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Bartlett School Env, Energy and Resources
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10196474
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