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Norms Affect Prospective Causal Judgments

Henne, Paul; O'Neill, Kevin; Bello, Paul; Khemlani, Sangeet; De Brigard, Felipe; (2021) Norms Affect Prospective Causal Judgments. Cognitive Science , 45 (1) , Article e12931. 10.1111/cogs.12931. Green open access

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Abstract

People more frequently select norm-violating factors, relative to norm-conforming ones, as the cause of some outcome. Until recently, this abnormal-selection effect has been studied using retrospective vignette-based paradigms. We use a novel set of video stimuli to investigate this effect for prospective causal judgments—that is, judgments about the cause of some future outcome. Four experiments show that people more frequently select norm-violating factors, relative to norm-conforming ones, as the cause of some future outcome. We show that the abnormal-selection effects are not primarily explained by the perception of agency (Experiment 4). We discuss these results in relation to recent efforts to model causal judgment.

Type: Article
Title: Norms Affect Prospective Causal Judgments
Location: United States
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1111/cogs.12931
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cogs.12931
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Social Sciences, Psychology, Experimental, Psychology, Causation, Causal selection, Causal reasoning, Causal judgment, Norms
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > Div of Psychology and Lang Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > Div of Psychology and Lang Sciences > Experimental Psychology
URI: https://discovery-pp.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10197247
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