Anandarajah, G; (2021) Improving energy systems and energy access in Ethiopia: an inclusive approach. Presented at: 1st IAEE Online Conference, Online conference.

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Abstract

Ethiopia is one of the least developed and least electrified countries in the world with an access rate of 44 percent. The country faces the second highest electricity access deficit in Africa, with over 60 million people without access electricity from the grid, posing a binding constraint to economic growth and social development. The access deficit isn’t spread equally - about 96 percent of urban households are connected to the grid, while only 27 percent of rural households have access to electricity services. The Ethiopian Government has a very ambitious and challenging plan to make the country a middle-income country by 2025, with no increase in GHG emissions under its second Growth and Transformation Plan (GTP II). In order to achieve this economic target, the National Electrification Program 2019 (NEP2.0) sets another ambitious target of achieving universal electricity access by 2025 of which 65% is met with grid solutions and the remaining 35% is with off-grid technologies, mainly renewables. However, based on the progress made so far on capacity addition to the Ethiopian electricity system and the unprecedented impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic experienced across the world, there is a need for further research on understanding how electricity demand evolves and how the electricity system should be expanded in the future under various pathways. The aim of this research is to develop possible transition pathways to modern energy, specifically clean electricity, by incorporating behavioural issues in energy system modelling using an inclusive approach where decision makers and users are engaged throughout the project.

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